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Democrats’ Vision for America is Resonating with Early Voters

The Democratic Party’s vision of an America that is hopeful and inclusive is resonating with Americans across the country– and people are showing their enthusiasm by voting early for Democrats in record numbers. Since the start of early voting in late September, we have knocked on 8.3 million doors, and have made 37.4 million phone calls– which is more than one million per day throughout the early voting period. Almost 40 million people have already cast their ballots, and in key states like, Florida, North Carolina and Ohio, we’ve seen especially high turnout in Democratic counties.

From Beyoncé and Jay Z, to Barack Obama, Michelle Obama, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren, Democrats have been hitting the trail to ensure that we win on Tuesday. And we will continue to travel all over the country to make the case for Hillary Clinton, Tim Kaine, and Democrats up and down the ballot until polls close.

Here’s what people are saying:

CNN: Eric Bradner: Democrats build huge early vote lead in battleground Nevada

Democrats have built what could be an insurmountable edge in Nevada at the end of early voting in the Western battleground state. In key regions, the party is matching or outpacing the lead President Barack Obama had at this point in 2012 on his way to a nearly 7-percentage-point win of the state’s six electoral votes… Statewide, Democrats have an edge of 46,000 votes, or 6 points.

CNN: Daniella Diaz: Early voting data in 3 key states show spike in Latino turnout

The percentage of eligible Latino voters who turn out to cast ballots typically isn’t as high as other demographics, but early voting data in three key battleground states suggest that could be changing in the 2016 race. So far, Latino voting in Florida, Georgia and North Carolina is significantly up from 2012…

Washington Post: Philip Bump: An early sign Trump is being out-organized: A big Democratic advantage in Nevada voting

The numbers in Clark County overall, both last night and over the course of Nevada’s two weeks of early voting, suggest a big surge in voters over 2012 — and an electorate that likely favors Clinton. According to numbers from the state, 52,000 more people voted in the two weeks of early voting in Clark County this year than four years ago… In 2012, Clark County made up more than two-thirds of all of the votes cast, and the county backed President Obama over Mitt Romney by 15 points — and by a margin of 101,000 votes.

Washington Post: John Wagner, Anne Gearan and Jose A. DelReal: Early voting by Latinos may help Clinton in several states
Even as the electoral map shows new signs of volatility, a surge in early voting by Latinos is bolstering Hillary Clinton’s prospects in battleground states including Arizona, Florida and Nevada in the closing days of a tightened race against Donald Trump. Fresh election data suggest that the Democratic nominee appears to be benefiting from upticks in participation by Latinos, who historically vote in lower numbers than the electorate overall…In Florida, more Latinos had voted early as of Wednesday than did so during the entire early voting period in 2012, according to the Clinton campaign.

Washington Post: Brian Schaffner and Anthony Rentsch: Early voting predict who wins. This is good news for Democrats.

Early voting is underway in many states, and things seem to look good for Democrats. CNN suggests that Democrats have improved their standing in Arizona and Nevada, compared with 2012. Democrats also are voting at high rates in the key battlegrounds of Florida and North Carolina, according to news reports. The New York Times is estimating the November vote in North Carolina, using the early vote totals and other information. That model predicts a Hillary Clinton victory…Taken together with the polls, the numbers this year do indeed bode well for Clinton.

New York Times: Nate Cohn: Early Vote in North Carolina Seems Consistent With a Clinton Lead

North Carolina has become perhaps the most important state in the election. It has the potential to decide the Senate and the presidency. Hillary Clinton has led every live-interview survey conducted there since the first presidential debate, even though Mitt Romney won it four years ago. She has a comfortable lead in the surveys taken after the third presidential debate, with Upshot/Siena, NBC/Marist, Quinnipiac, Monmouth and Elon polls showing her ahead by an average of four points. It’s also a state where the election is well underway. Nearly two million voters — perhaps 40 percent of the electorate — have already cast ballots, and the data from early voting suggests that she has banked a considerable lead. The same data implies that pre-election polls are largely right about the composition of the North Carolina electorate.

ABC News: Meghan Keneally: Candidates Vie for Latinos as Early Voting Up in Fla.

Hispanic voters could influence this presidential election more than previous campaigns, with early voting in at least one state suggesting they are heading to the polls at a higher rate than four years ago. “Hispanics are energized and they are voting early like they have never voted early before in Florida, and it’s hard to say that’s not a positive energy; probably for Hillary Clinton,” University of Florida professor Dan Smith told ABC News today. The stepped-up voting comes as Democratic vice presidential candidate Sen. Tim Kaine held an event today in Phoenix, Arizona, entirely in Spanish, making it clear the campaign will actively court Hispanic voters to the very end. Early-voting numbers broken down by race or ethnicity are not publicly available in each state, including some of those that have the largest Hispanic populations, like California, Texas, Arizona or Nevada.

NBC News: Hannah Hartig and John Lapinski: One Week Before Election Day, Early Voting Is Nearly Twice as High as 2012

Similarly, in Iowa, North Carolina, Nevada, Ohio and Wisconsin, Democratic-affiliated voters also voted at higher rates than Republican-affiliated voters in 2012 a week ahead of the Election and are continuing this trend in 2016. In Colorado, Michigan and Virginia, things look quite different from this year’s vantage point than they did in 2012. In 2012, Republican -affiliated voters outpaced Democrats in Colorado and Virginia by 3-point margins and a 13-point margin in Michigan. This year, Democratic-affiliated voters are outpacing Republicans by 3 points in Colorado and Michigan, and by 13 points in Virginia.

Vox: Matthew Yglesias: Early voting in Nevada looks very good for Democrats

Polls of Nevada show it evenly divided between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, but Jon Ralston, the longtime dean of Nevada political journalism, has been keeping tabs on the state’s early voting and concludes that “if Clinton holds her base here (data I have seen shows she is, and minority turnout is going up) and turnout patterns don’t dramatically shift in the last two days of early voting, she can’t lose Nevada.”…Ralston further concludes based on this that “congressional seats are almost gone for the GOP” in the state.

Huffington Post: Nico Pitney: Nevada’s Early Vote Ends With Massive Democratic Surge

Friday marked the end of early voting in the battleground state of Nevada, and the final returns brought decidedly good news for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton…“If you have a panic button GOP, find it,” tweeted Jon Ralston, a veteran political reporter in the state. “Trump is dead…” Returns in Nevada and several other states with early voting ― including Florida, Colorado, Georgia and Arizona ― have shown large turnout increases among Latino voters.

Los Angeles Times: Cathleen Decker: Clinton is seeing early turnout among the women and Latinos she is counting on in crucial states

Donald Trump and his campaign surrogates have been banking that a cadre of voters who rarely surface at the polls will show up and buoy his campaign as it drives toward Tuesday’s election. Yet while reliably Republican voters are showing up at early-voting sites, they are being met there by a countering army: women, Latinos and other supporters of Hillary Clinton…In key states like North Carolina, Nevada and Florida, gains among women and minorities have bolstered the Democrat’s efforts to block Trump’s avenues to victory…When measured, enthusiasm among Democrats in Nevada ranked higher than that of Republicans, said Tom Bonier, chief executive of TargetSmart, which analyzes voter data.

FiveThirtyEight: Harry Enten: The Early Vote In Nevada Suggests Clinton Might Beat Her Polls There

Still, many more Democrats than Republicans have voted in early balloting. Through early Tuesday, 43 percent of early and absentee votes have been cast by registered Democrats and just 37 percent have been cast by registered Republicans. Democrats have a lead in the number of raw votes of greater than 30,000 out of more than 500,000 votes cast, which is about 50 percent of all votes cast in the 2012 presidential election.

Slate: Osita Nwanevu: Millions of Americans Have Already Voted. So Who’s Winning?

Of all the swing states, the Democrats have the most cause for celebration in Nevada, where they lead Republicans in early votes cast as of Monday by 6.6 percentage points—43.2 percent of early votes have come from Democrats compared with 36.6 percent from registered Republicans and 20.2 percent that are listed as “other.” As analyst Jon Ralston said on Monday morning, 60 percent of Nevada voters are expected to vote before Election Day—31 percent have voted already—making the Democrats’ lead in ballots cast a bad sign for TrumpClinton also appears to have the edge in North Carolina according to the Upshot’s analysis of the state’s early vote data…As of Monday in Colorado, Democrats are leading Republicans 331,153 to 300,275 in ballots cast, while unaffiliated voters have submitted 223,540 ballots. Democrats have led since early voting started in mid-October, which is good news for Clinton.

KTNV: Jon Ralston: EARLY VOTING BLOG: Early voting kills Trump in NV

Donald Trump will be in Reno on Saturday, but the Republicans almost certainly lost Nevada on Friday…The ripple effect down the ticket probably will cost the Republicans Harry Reid’s Senate seat, two GOP House seats and control of the Legislature…The Democrats won Clark County by more than 11,000 votes Friday…, a record margin on a record-setting turnout day…The statewide lead (some rurals not posted) will be above 45,000 — slightly under the 48,000 of 2012, but still robust. That’s 6 percentage points, or right about at registration.

CBS Miami: Donna Rapado: Florida Sees Historic Early Voting Turnout

Around the sunshine state, 2.8 million people have already cast ballots — a third of them coming from South Florida. In Miami-Dade, the tally is at 606,000. In Broward, about 500,000. Overall, more than 5 million votes have been cast early in Florida, about a half a million more than in 2012… “If [the African American Community does] show up, Hillary Clinton is most likely going to win Florida and is most likely going to be the next president of the United States,” said Charles Zelden, a professor at Nova Southeastern University. He explains that not only are black voters crucial in determining the next president, so are Latin voters — and they’ve registered in big numbers.

Palm Beach Post: George Bennett: Florida Democrats inch ahead of Republicans in pre-Tuesday voting

Florida Democrats have cast slightly more ballots than Republicans heading into Tuesday’s election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, according to this morning’s Division of Elections report…Democrats and Republicans alike expect Democrats to increase their advantage today and Sunday, the final days of in-person early voting

Baltimore Sun: Luke Broadwater: Early voting turnout continues to climb headed into final day

As of Thursday afternoon, more than 800,000 Marylanders have cast ballots in the hotly contested presidential race between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump — well more than the 430,500 Marylanders who took advantage of early voting during the last presidential election in 2012. Democrats — who outnumber Republicans in Maryland 2 to 1 — have turned out for early voting at an even greater rate. About three times as many Democrats have voted to date. Opinion polls have showed a large lead for Clinton among Maryland voters.

Boston Globe: Martha Schick and Jaclyn Reiss: Boston sees record turnout Wednesday for early voting

Unseasonably warm weather and plenty of sunshine Wednesday drew out a record turnout of early voters at Boston City Hall. More than 2,000 people had voted as of 7:30 p.m., and city election officials were anticipating “a new record for City Hall,” Bonnie McGilpin, a spokeswoman for Mayor Martin J. Walsh, wrote in an e-mail….Early voting has been a success in Boston, where polling places have opened each day at 9 a.m. since Oct. 24. As of Tuesday, a total of 33,388 people had voted early, McGilpin said. Early voting across Massachusetts started Oct. 24, and continues through Friday. A state law approved in 2014 updated the state’s election laws to allow voters to cast ballots up to 11 days before Election Day, which will be Tuesday.

San Francisco Chronicle: John Wildermuth: California Democrats improve on 2012 showing in early vote

Early-voting Democrats could be the key in some of the state’s most fiercely contested congressional races, new vote-by-mail statistics show. More than 3.7 million Californians already have voted in Tuesday’s election, with hundreds of thousands more mail ballots expected to arrive at county election offices over the next few days. And in the handful of toss-up congressional contests across the state, more and more of those ballots are coming from Democrats. All around the state, we’re seeing an underperformance by Republicans (in early voting) compared to 2012,” said Paul Mitchell, vice president of Political Data Inc., which provides information on voters and voting to both Republican and Democratic campaigns. “Vote-by-mail means higher turnout … and it looks like Democrats are getting out more of (those voters) than in the past.”

Houston Chronicle: Rebecca Elliott and Matt Dempsey: Democrats outnumber Republicans in Harris County early voting

Democratic presidential primary voters outnumbered their Republican counterparts at Harris County’s polls last week, potentially providing Hillary Clinton and down-ballot Democrats a vote cushion heading into Election Day. More than a quarter of Harris County’s 2.2 million registered voters cast a ballot in-person or by mail last week, a 36 percent increase from 2012 and part of a statewide surge in early voting…Texas – which does not register voters by party affiliation – is braced for a closer presidential race than the state has seen in decades, with vast potential consequences in local races. In Harris County, a poll released two weeks ago showed Clinton leading Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump by 7 percentage points.

Chicago Tribune: Tribune news services: Early voting: Tighter race, but still good signs for Hillary Clinton

Still, the tens of millions of early votes cast also point to strength from Democratic-leaning Latino voters, potentially giving Clinton a significant advantage in Nevada and Colorado. With more than half the votes already cast in those states, Democrats are matching if not exceeding their successful 2012 pace, according to data compiled by The Associated Press.

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